At 10.25 on the evening of Sunday August 14
th,
eight men will settle into their blocks to determine who will be crowned the
Olympic Champion. The most popular favourite will be the Jamaican, Usain Bolt,
attempting to become the first man to win three Olympic 100 metres titles. In
fact, only he and Carl Lewis have won two, and Lewis never had the privilege of
crossing the line first twice, as he followed Ben Johnson down the straight in
Seoul in 1988. Bolt does not travel to Rio with the world’s leading
performance. In fact, he is ‘only’ fourth on the world rankings. So who is
likely to line up in the final?
Nickel Ashmeade
Nobody makes the Jamaican team without the potential of
making the final of a major championship. Coached by Lance Brauman, the Florida
based athlete finished second behind Yohan Blake at the Jamaican Olympic trials
in both the 100 and 200 metres in 9.96 and 20.45. A regular member of the
Jamaican team, Ashmeade has a best this year of 9.94, and will likely have to
run a lifetime best if he is be fighting for the medals in Rio.
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Nickel Ashmeade |
Yohan Blake
Since a great season in the last Olympic year, Blake has
struggled for form, and reportedly been plagued by injuries. Once seen as the
athlete who would take over the mantle from Usain Bolt, Blake has not qualified
for a major championship since 2012. With a somewhat resurgence of form, Blake
won the fiercely competitive Jamaican Olympic trials over both 100 and 200
metres in 9.95 and 20.29 respectively, but has been noticeably absent from the
European circuit. Another Mills coached athlete, Blake is definitely capable of
making the final, but he has not done anything that suggests to me he is in the
form he was four years ago.
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Yohan Blake |
Usain Bolt
Bolt has a habit of winning pretty much all the time. His
track record is even more impressive in major championships, where his only
blip in the past eight years was his false start in the 100 metres final in the
Daegu World Championships in 2011. Six Olympic gold medals and eleven World
Championship gold medals is tough to bet against, but Bolt’s recent preparation
has been unsettled by a hamstring injury, leading to a selection that some have
seen as controversial. Typically, the top three Jamaicans past the post qualify
for the Olympics, but Bolt missed both the 100 and 200 metres final at the
Jamaican Olympic trials due his hamstring injury, and was subsequently selected
having been given a medical exemption, which it was stated was reserved for
athletes ranked in the top three in the world. A sub-20 second 200 metres
victory in London at the end of July did not look like easy work for Bolt, but
on more than one occasion I have suspected Bolt may be beaten at a major
championship, and each time I have been left eating my words, so I predict the
Glen Mills coached athlete will step up as usual as do enough to retain his
title.
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Usain Bolt |
Marvin Bracy
Bracy arguably qualified for the US Olympic Team against the
odds by beating Mike Rodgers and Tyson Gay to take the third spot on the team,
behind Justin Gatlin and Trayvon Bromell, in 9.98 seconds. Coach by Lance
Brauman, Bracy has featured in the last two World Indoor Athletics
Championships 60 metres finals, winning the silver medal in 2014. The Florida
based athlete will likely need to run faster than he has done so far this year
to make an impact in the final, but he showed at last month’s trials in Eugene,
he was able to hold it together under pressure, which is vital for Olympic
success.
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Marvin Bracy |
Trayvon Bromell
One of the leading members of the next generation of
sprinters, Bromell will be hoping to build on the form that saw him win the 60
metres at the World Indoor Championships in Portland in March as he heads to
Rio. A smooth sprinter with text book form, he is the world junior record
holder for 100 metres and had a hugely successful collegiate career, before
opting to turn professional when he signed with New Balance last year. As a
runner up behind Justin Gatlin at the US Olympic Trials in 9.84, Bromell is
ranked number two in the world this year on time and he and his coach, Mike
Ford, will have been working hard at Baylor University in Texas to overcome an
early season Achilles injury to ensure he is in peak condition heading into
Rio.
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Trayvon Bromell |
Andre Degrasse
Another ‘future of sprinting’, the Canadian was the joint
bronze medalist with Bromell in last year’s World Championships. However, his
preparation will be in sharp contrast to that of last year, where he completed
a grueling collegiate season, before a personal best performance in Beijing. Since
then, last year’s NCAA 100 and 200 metres champion has signed a professional
contract with Puma and relocated from Los Angeles to Phoenix to join the ALTIS group
and coach Stu McMillan. An early season toe injury saw him compete infrequently,
but victories in Oslo, Houston and the Canadian Olympic trials, where he
clocked 9.99, have demonstrated that the fast finishing, young sprinter should
be in the mix come the final.
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Andre Degrasse |
Justin Gatlin
Gatlin is a controversial character due to a history
involving positive drugs tests, but the rules allow him to compete and I expect
him to be as competitive as he always is. Coached by three-time Olympic
medalist, Dennis Mitchell, Gatlin is both unbeaten and the fastest man in the
world this season, after winning the US Olympic Trials in 9.80, and although
his form is not as impressive as it was twelve months ago, he puts that down to
a more calculated approach to the season, so he comes good when it counts in
Rio. He wants to avoid a repeat of Beijing last year, where Gatlin was the
fastest man in the world, having running a handful of times in the 9.7s, but having
run 9.77 in his semi, a 9.80 in the World Championships final was only good enough
for silver behind Bolt.
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Justin Gatlin |
Jimmy Vicaut
The powerful Frenchman made an excellent start to the
season, clocking both 9.88 and 9.86. Vicaut, coached by Guy Ontanon, was a
favourite leading into last month’s European Championships, but only came away
with the bronze medal. Winner at the most recent Diamond League event in
London, Vicaut certainly has the physical tools to be competitive when the
medals are distributed in Rio, but will likely not be most people’s favourite
to challenge the likes of Bolt and Gatlin.
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Jimmy Vicaut |
Others to watch for:
Kim Collins (Saint Kitts and Nevis) – coached by Paula
Collins
James Dasaolu (Great Britain) - coached by Steve Fudge
James Ellington (Great Britain) - coached by Linford Christie
Jak Ali Harvey (Turkey) – coached by Lance Brauman
Femi Ogunode (Qatar) – coached by Dennis Mitchell
Akani Simbine (South Africa) – coached by Werner Prinsloo
Chijindu Ujah (Great Britain) - coached by Jonas Tawiah Dodoo
My prediction:
Gold – Usain Bolt
Silver – Justin Gatlin
Bronze – Trayvon Bromell